Service Plays Sunday 11/08/09

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dover picks



gb 4 units
philly 2 units
mia 1 unit


wash/atl under 42 2 units
dal/philly over 47 2 units
car/no over 51 1 unit
mia/ne over 46 1 unit

ytd sides 18-9 plus 16 units

ytd totals 10-3 plus 12 units
 
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Doc's Sports

NFL

5 Unit Play. #109 Take Baltimore -3 over Cincinnati (Sunday 1 pm CBS) Top Game of the Week. Baltimore 27 Cincinati 14.


4 Unit Play. #106 Take Under 41 ½ in Washington @ Atlanta (Sunday 1 pm Fox) ATL 24, Washington 13.


4 Unit Play. #111 Take Houston +9 over Indianapolis (Sunday 1 pm CBS) Indianapolis 27, Houston 21.


4 Unit Play. #129 Take Pittsburgh -3 over Denver (Monday 8:30 pm ESPN) Pittsburgh 27, Denver 13.
 
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WUNDERDOG
Complimentary Picks and Analysis
Game: Carolina at New Orleans (Sunday 11/08 4:05 PM Eastern)
Pick: Game Total UNDER 51.5 -110
The Saints have been looking like a team that has the Super Bowl in their sights as they have been unstoppable on offense and have a defense that is underrated. The Saints come into this one a perfect 7-0 on the season. Carolina, after a 0-3 start, have rebounded by winning three of their last four games behind an improving defense. After getting torched for an average of 33 ppg in their first two games, the Panthers have shut the door on opponents, having kept their last five opponents to 21 or fewer points. One of those teams that failed to produce more than 21 points was the Dallas Cowboys' offense that averages just 17 yards a game less than the Saints. The one thing that the Panthers do when they are playing well is go to the running game, which is churning out nearly 150 yards per game at 4.74 yards per carry. The weak link to the Saints' defense is a rushing defense that is allowing 4.45 yards per carry. I look for Carolina to come out running the ball a lot to shorten the game, with the goal of having a shot in the fourth quarter. With Delhomme having the year he's having, it's really the only logical recipe for John Fox. The Saints' offense isn't quite as proficient when playing on a short week as they are 5-1 to the UNDER after playing on Monday night. This total is the highest of the week, juiced by the public's infatuation with sexy high-scoring offenses like the Saints. It's time for some reversion back to lower-scoring games for them and I like this one to go UNDER the total.
 

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Al DeMarco on NY Daily News Live

NY Giants (-5) over San Diego Chargers
Arizona Cardinals (+3) over Chicago Bears
Green Bay Packers (-9.5) over Tampa Bay Buccaneers
Cincinnati Bengals (+3) over Baltimore Ravens
Philadelphia Eagles (-3) over Dallas Cowboys
 

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Ace-Ace

$500.00 Take #407 Houston (+9) over Indianapolis (1 p.m., Sunday, Nov. 8)
Indianapolis is a bit overrated right now. They are 7-0 this year but this team isn't as strong as the groups that really were threatening to go unbeaten earlier in the decade. The Colts are just 4-9 ATS in their last 13 home games while Houston is on a nice 2-0-1 ATS run. I think that Houston can score points with anyone so to spot them nearly 10 points is way too much of a head start. The Colts have almost lost at home this year to San Francisco and Jacksonville. I think that they will almost lose again this week. But that our side will cash.

$2100.00 Take #429 Pittsburgh (-3) over Denver (8:30 p.m., Monday, Nov. 8)
This play is part of my “99 System” this week. I have some "friends in the industry" that are laying out huge money on the Steelers in this one. Everyone has been waiting for Denver's bubble to burst. It did just that in a rout in Baltimore last week. Now they have to take on the defending Super Bowl champions off of two weeks of rest in a game on Monday Night Football. I think that the Steelers are used to performing on a stage like this and that the rest is too much for the Broncos to overcome. Denver lost to the Steelers in Mile High in the AFC Championship game just a few years ago and a lot of the same Steelers are still on the team. The line on this game opened as a 'Pick' and steamed all the way up to -3. I will follow that movement. The Steelers are 8-2 ATS in their last 10 games against a team with a winning record and the road team has covered four of five in this series.

$700.00 Take #405 Baltimore (-3) over Cincinnati (1 p.m., Sunday, Nov. 8)
The Ravens had Cincinnati beat at home a few weeks ago before they gave the game away late with stupid penalties. I think that the Ravens were overlooking the Bengals back then. But they won't be now. Baltimore's defense looked like the Ravens defense of old last week against Denver. I think that they will do the same this week. The Ravens are 20-7 ATS recently and they are 7-3 ATS in their last 10 divisional games.

$2000.00 Take #422 San Francisco (-4) over Tennessee (4 p.m., Sunday, Nov. 8)
Just because Tennessee won one game against a bad Jaguars team that doesn't mean that they are anything more than a 1-6 team. They have torched their backers this year and I am still looking to fade Vince Young. San Francisco has lost some tough games to some very good teams. All of their losses have come against teams with winning records and they almost beat Indianapolis on the road last Sunday. San Fran gets back in the win column.

$300.00 Take #425 Dallas (+3) over Philadelphia (8 p.m., Sunday, Nov. 8)
The Cowboys have all of the steam here and I think that they are going to get revenge for their last trip to Philadelphia: a blowout that ended their season on the last game of the year last January. Philadelphia may be in a letdown situation here are getting so high up for their win over the Giants. I don't know if they can sustain the momentum this week. The underdog is 7-2 ATS in the last nine meetings and the road team has covered four of five meetings.

$300.00 Take #413 Arizona (+3) over Chicago (1 p.m., Sunday, Nov. 8)
I don't know why Chicago is favored this week. Arizona is the better team and will win this game outright. The Bears blew out Cleveland last week. Big deal! Everyone blows out Cleveland! Arizona is coming off a loss and will be ready to play here. They beat the Giants on the road last week and have been playing better away from home than in Arizona this season. Big win for the Cards will sink the Bears.


teaser

Pitt-11 (cfb)
Hou+19
ari +13..................................$300.00


Best to all

Ace-Ace
AK
Allen Eastman
 

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Larry used the Ravens (-4) as his 25* AFC Game of the Year in Week 8 and he delivered "big-time" with a 30-7 win. It was the FIFTH consecutive Sunday in which he had won his No.1 NFL play of the weekend. Larry makes it “SIX-in-a-row” with his No. 1 NFL play for Week 9, his 25* Blowout Game of the Year on Sunday! Your move? Eli Manning and Philip Rivers meet for the first time in their NFL careers this Sunday at Giants Stadium. They will linked forever because of the 2004 draft. Manning and his representatives told San Diego not to pick him with the 2004 draft's No. 1 choice but the Chargers selected him anyway. The Giants would chose Rivers at No. 4. The two teams then swapped QBs with the Giants also sending the Chargers picks that San Diego used on Shawne Merriman and kicker Nate Kaeding. Rivers has produced the better overall numbers but of course Eli led the Giants to that Super Bowl win over then-unbeaten Patriots with Manning winning the MVP. This first-ever meeting between the two QBs comes at a major crossroads for both teams, particularly the Giants. I'll look at the Chargers first. They made the postseason last year at 8-8, when the Broncos collapsed at the end of the season. Head coach Norv Turner is always on the "hot seat," but one must admit, he has been able to advance in the postseason, something Marty could never do. The problem for San Diego this year is that the Chargers were expected to roll to the AFC west title opposed by only the Broncos (left for dead), Chiefs and Raiders. The Chiefs and Raiders are as bad as expected but the Broncos are 6-1, leaving the 4-3 Chargers facing a possible three-game deficit after eight games with a San Diego loss and Denver win this Sunday. LT looks "finished," with just 267 yards rushing (3.4 YPC) Y-T-D. He's gone a career-high 13 straight games without gaining 100 yards and the Chargers enter averaging a miniscule 74.7 YPG on the ground (only the Cards rush for less), while the team's 3.1 YPC is an NFL-low. Rivers is having another good year plus Jackson has developed in a "big-play" WR but his completion percentage is down from 65.3 LY to 59.7 and his QB rating down from 105.5 to 95.9. San Diego's rush 'D' was really hurt by the loss of NT Jamal Williams for the year and enters ranked 27th (132.1 YPG / 4.2 YPC). Merriman has never regained his previous form and the pass 'D' is more than capable of giving up big plays. Now to the Giants, who opened 5-0. Problem was, they beat the Cowboys 33-31 on the game's final play (FG), while their other four wins came over teams which are currently a combined 5-24 (.172). Have the Giants been 'exposed' the last three weeks? They've lost 48-27 at New Orleans, 24-17 at home to the Cards and 40-17 at the Eagles. They've allowed 37.3 PPG while Eli has completed 49.5% with three TDs and six INTs, after completing 64.4% witha 10-2 ratio in the 5-0 start. RB Jacobs had nine 100-yard games (out of 24) while topping 1,000 yards the last two seasons and averaging 5.0 YPC but hasn't topped 92 yards in a game this year (averages less than 70 per game), while gaining 3.9 YPC. However, that Giants running game isn't that far 'off,' as this year's team is averaging 141.8 YPG (4.4 YPC), after leading the NFL in rushing LY (157.4 YPG / 5.0 YPC). Let me also note that in the team's three-game slide, the Giants only allowed 288 yards to the Cards in that seven-point loss at home, while allowing an average of 442.0 YPG and 44.0 PPG in losses at New Orleans and Philly. At 5-3 and with the 5-2 Cowboys visiting the 5-2 Eagles, the Gains are in a "MUST-WIN" situation. A loss here and who knows where the team is headed? Does that mean the Giants have to win? Of course not but I'm not about to sell Eli or this team, short, just yet (see me after the game!). San Diego's four wins this year have come over the 2-6 Raiders (twice), the 3-4 Dolphins and the 1-6 Chiefs while they've lost to the Ravens, Steelers and Broncos (combined 15-6, .714). The dysfunctional Chargers are coming cross-country to face an embarrassed and angry Giants team which has proven in the past to play its best ball with its collective backs to the wall. NFL Blowout GOY 25* NY Giants.
 

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Scott "The Gator"

Scott "The Gator"

ATL/GAME-- OVER
DETROIT- + POINTS
SAN DIEGO + POINTS
 

AtU

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Scott "The Gator"

ATL/GAME-- OVER
DETROIT- + POINTS
SAN DIEGO + POINTS

Scott "Gator" Anderson? He is not a tout, just a radio host... from Detroit, nonetheless.

Might as well throw Doug "Crumpacker" Karsch's picks in there too:

Detroit +10
Indianapolis -9
Houston/Indianapolis OVER 48
 

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Lenny Del Genio 25* Division Game of the Year

Lenny Del Genio | NFL Side Sun, 11/08/09 - 1:00 PM ³�
triple-dime bet 407 HOU 9.0 (-110) Bodog vs 408 IND
Analysis:

Play on Houston at 1:00 ET. Winners of three straight and now 5-3 for the first time in franchise history, this is probably the biggest game in the history of the Texans franchise. Coming into the season big things were expected from the Houston offense and this unit has not disappointed. Behind QB Matt Schaub, who has more passing yards and TD's than Peyton Manning this year (played one more game), has directed the offense to a franchise-best four 400+ yard games. They have scored 24 or more points in six of their last seven games. Even with Steve Slaton struggling, the Texans have found another RB to produce in Ryan Moates, who had three touchdowns a week ago. Schaub, who has already set a career high with 16 TD's, completed 27 of 33 passes for 236 yards in his lone start vs. Indianapolis last year. He and the best WR in football, Andre Johnson, can take advantage of a Colts secondary that could be down as many as two cornerbacks here. Offense has always been a strength for this team, but where the true improvement has come has been in the trenches. No one questions the drafting of former #1 overall DC Mario Williams over Reggie Bush any longer. The run defense, formerly a real sore spot, has improved by leaps and bounds allowing just three yards per carry over its last five games. The Colts rank just 30th in rushing in the league and could be without Donald Brown for a second straight game. Last week, they ran for just 61 yards on 21 carries with just five of those going for four yards or more. This season, Indianapolis has just three runs of 20 ya‚rds or more! Much is being made of the fact that this head-to-head rivalry has been so one-sided in front of the Colts. Yes, Indianapolis leads 13-1 in terms of straight up results, but at the betting window it's an even 7-7 split and last year's two games were decided by a total of 10 points, one of which came about due to a terrible 4th quarter effort from jettisoned Texans QB Sage Rosenfels. Overall, Houston is on a 7-2 ATS run in division games while the Colts are just 1-4 ATS L5 when hosting AFC South foes. Indianapolis has to lose a regular season game sooner or later (won 15 straight) and even if they don't here, we'll be glad to grab all these points. Houston is our 25* AFC South Game of the Year.
 

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hilton contest
------------------

top five most picked teams
(includes a tie)
(20-21 ats)

# 1 top pick: (3-5 ats)

1. Hstn (125)
2. Car (107)
3. Ariz (100)
4. Balt (78)
5. Wash (77)

===================

largest difference between teams
(top five)

1. Hstn (100)
2. Car (87)
3. Ariz (77)
4. Seatt (30)
5. Sf (29)

=========================

top contestant(s)

1. (29-11): Atl / chic / tenn / nyg / pitt
2. (27-12-1): Ariz / car / tenn / nyg / dnvr
3. (27-13): Hstn / tb / chic / philly / dnvr

(four of top six have tenn)

==================================

bottom feeder(s)

(13-26-1): Cincy / wash / tb / miami / car

(three of bottom five have san fran)

================================

teams chosen the fewest times
(8-8 s/u & ats)
(chosen 25 or less times

det (18) / nor (20)
 

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Malinsky

5- J'Ville -6.5
4- New england -10.5
 

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Sirdukesports 4-0 Last Week in the NFL

<TABLE border=1 cellSpacing=0 bgColor=#ffffff><CAPTION>Sirduke Sports</CAPTION><THEAD><TR><TH bgColor=#c0c0c0 borderColor=#000000>Date</TH><TH bgColor=#c0c0c0 borderColor=#000000>Kick Off</TH><TH bgColor=#c0c0c0 borderColor=#000000>Club Rating</TH><TH bgColor=#c0c0c0 borderColor=#000000>Rotation</TH><TH bgColor=#c0c0c0 borderColor=#000000>Selection</TH><TH bgColor=#c0c0c0 borderColor=#000000>Rating</TH></TR></THEAD><TBODY><TR vAlign=top><TD borderColor=#d0d7e5 align=right>11/8/2009</TD><TD borderColor=#d0d7e5 align=right>1:00:00 PM</TD><TD borderColor=#d0d7e5>Private Players</TD><TD borderColor=#d0d7e5>409</TD><TD borderColor=#d0d7e5>Washington Redskins +9</TD><TD borderColor=#d0d7e5>8*</TD></TR><TR vAlign=top><TD borderColor=#d0d7e5 align=right>11/8/2009</TD><TD borderColor=#d0d7e5 align=right>1:00:00 PM</TD><TD borderColor=#d0d7e5>Easy Winner</TD><TD borderColor=#d0d7e5>407</TD><TD borderColor=#d0d7e5>Houston Texans +9</TD><TD borderColor=#d0d7e5>9*</TD></TR><TR vAlign=top><TD borderColor=#d0d7e5 align=right>11/8/2009</TD><TD borderColor=#d0d7e5 align=right>4:05:00 PM</TD><TD borderColor=#d0d7e5>Attack Dog</TD><TD borderColor=#d0d7e5>417</TD><TD borderColor=#d0d7e5>Carolina Panthers +13</TD><TD borderColor=#d0d7e5>11*</TD></TR></TBODY><TFOOT></TFOOT></TABLE>Good Luck
Duke
 
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Teddy Covers

20* Big Ticket: Baltimore -3 (405)

Arizona +3 (413)
New England -10.5 (416)
Philadelphia -3 (426)
 
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Dr. Bob

2 Star Selection
**Washington 19 ATLANTA (-10.0) 21
10:00 AM Pacific, 08-Nov-09
I'll take Washington in a 2-Star Best Bet at +8 points or more.

2 Star Selection
*DENVER (+3 at -120 odds) 21 Pittsburgh 16
05:30 PM Pacific, 09-Nov-09
I'll take Denver in a 2-Star Best Bet at +1 or more and for 3-Stars at +3 at -115 or better.

Strong Opinion
NY GIANTS (-4.5) 28 San Diego 18
01:15 PM Pacific, 08-Nov-09
I'll consider New York a Strong Opinion based on the technical analysis.

Strong Opinion UNDER
UNDER (43) - SEATTLE (-10.0) 23 Detroit 14
01:05 PM Pacific, 08-Nov-09
I'll consider the UNDER a Strong Opinion at 41 points or higher.
 
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Sixth Sense

BEST BETS

YTD 27-20 +15.00%

3% WASHINGTON +9.5
3% DENVER +3
3% BALTIMORE/CINCINNATI OVER 44
3% SAN DIEGO/NY GIANTS OVER 47.5
3% DALLAS/PHILADELPHIA OVER 49
 
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Doug Williams


Detroit +10 @ Seattle -10
The Hawks have a way of beating up on teams when they're at home, its uncanny how up and down this team plays, but they're due for a bounce back in Qwest field, thats just what they do
Seattle Covers -10

Tennessee +4 @ San Fran -4
the niners have lost most of the Moxy they started the season with, and look to be inches away from a tailspin. But of their losing record, its not been at home.
San Fran Covers -4

San Diego +4.5 @ NYG -4.5
The Giants are a mess, they were a power ranked juggernaugh to start the season, and racked off 5 in a row before completely imploding. The Chargers, who come into every season with the most talent, simply LOVE to let down gamblers in this spot.
Giants Cover -4.5

Pitts -3 @ Denver +3
The Broncos are coming off their first loss of the season, and guess what? It won be their last. Injury depleted or not, the Broncos do not have an answer for this pass rush and seconday, Orton has another Orton day.
Pittsburgh Covers -3
 
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Indian Cowboy



6 Unit Play. NFL First Half Game of the Year. #405. Baltimore Ravens -3 over the Cincinatti Bengals (Sunday @ 1pm est). Certainly the Ravens have a great deal of revenge from their first loss to this team 14-17 at home. It was a drive put together by the Bengals in their last possession as they stunned Baltimore for their first loss of the year. The Ravens do have three losses on the year. But, in their defense, the three losses come from a combined total of 11 points. I like the Ravens here to get their revenge as they come off a big win over the Broncos at home. This team understands that they are 4-3 and do not have a grapple on the playoffs yet by any means after their hot preseason and regular season start which found them winning their first seven contests of the year - including the preseason. I like Coach H to get his players fired up for a nice revenge game here as this is a contest that Baltimore could win by double-digits as they likely do not let off the pedal. Remember, the Bengals did lose to the Texans at home and they come off a big win over the Bears as they are in for a likely let down Sunday after such a big win. These are the same Ravens that went on the road to defeat the Chargers, and the same Ravens that had the goods to nearly defeat a team in the Vikings if their kicker did not miss the field goal in question. The Ravens are 10-2 ATS in their last 12 games as as favorite and 9-3 ATS in their last 12 road games.

4 Unit Play. #407. Take the Houston Texans +9 over the Indianapolis Colts. I'm not the one to go against the Colts, but this is a division game. And, these Texans are for real. This team went on the road to defeat the Bengals and crushed Buffalo 31-10 on the highway as well. This team is very familiar with the Colts and lost by 6 points on the road last year. This year's team is even better. I like the nine points here as the Texans would love to give the Colts their first loss on the year. More importantly, the playoffs are in reach for the Texans this year. This team is 5-3 and certainly capable of having the offense to put up some points on the board. They learned a great deal from the Niners who nearly defeated the Colts and will likely have a similar game plan here. I like the Texans plus the points in this division rivalry game as they are tired of being the doormat to this team in this particular division. Texans are 6-1 ATS in their last seven games as an Underdog and the Colts are 2-5 ATS as a home favorite by this margin.

4 Unit Play. #417. Take the Carolina Panthers +13.5 over the New Orleans Saints (Sunday @ 4:05pm est). A lot of points here in a division game. Carolina showed a lot of heart at Arizona winning 34-21 as a ten point underdog. Remember, this team also defeated Tampa Bay in a division game and only lost to the Falcons by eight points on the road. Certainly if the Falcons can hang tough in New Orleans with a 10 point spread more or less, why not Carolina on a 13.5 spread. Carolina has come around lately as they have three wins on the year. Frankly, I think they get up for this game similar to the Arizona game as Fox has this team moving in the right direction since the second half of the Washington game when they were losing outright at home. Remember, Arizona runs a similar offensive set such as New Orleans and there is no reason to think that these Carolina defensive backs can't hang tough here as Carolina puts up their fair share of points just like they did against Arizona. Saints are 4-11-1 when they face a team with a losing overall record at home.
 
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Diceituponline fireman

Week 9 NFL HUGE DAY, Most action of the year!!


Atlanta -10 = 25 Dimes

Baltimore -3 = 15 Dimes

San Fran -4 = 15 Dimes

3 Team Tease = 15 Dimes

NE -.5 (Tease down 10)
Seattle PK (tease down 10)
NO - 3 (tease down 10)
 

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